Price of near future seamless steel tube goes elucidate of weak general affairs

In October since the last ten-day of a month, price of seamless steel tube presents the state that shakes fall after a rise, enter after October, price of seamless steel tube is to present those who accelerate be issued to lower levels to go more situation. By process carries change, supply to carry change and period price season to await sexual discipline to demand the integrated elucidate of 3 sides position, the author thinks, fall last stage soares after steeping fall, price of seamless steel tube the coping inside year or already ascertain. Demand or will turn weak demand increases is the main station that price of litre of seamless steel tube pushs before this, its are principal antecedents at 3 respects, because,be of real-estate industry super- anticipate pick up, 2 it is to enter the demand that consumes busy season to pick up, 3 it is the make a present of of positive and negative that seamless steel tube rises to spur filling library demand then. From the point of all sorts of data, now, these 3 respects appeared to turn evidence infirmly. At first, admittedly it may be said of real-estate trade data is beautiful first quarter beautiful, but the market pervades the short period in thinking this is fall after a rise of real-estate industry long cycle rebounds. Abiding in light of, because of the change of Chinese dentition layout, 3 kinds of resolution estate requirement just needed (marriageable age just needed, migrate to just just needed with improvement) already hanged down hang down atrophic, real-estate industry enters cycle of be issued to lower levels is gist rate general affairs. Below the setting of senior periodic be issued to lower levels, body part short period rebounds in with respect to need alert rebounds to be stopped possibly at any time. Because of the change of policy of industry adjusting control, from the point of high frequency data, the estate sales volume October is added fast relatively move fall after a rise. Data shows, october the last ten-day of a month, sales volume of 26 cities housing is added compared to the same period fast fall to 58.0% , sales volume of 40 cities housing is added compared to the same period fast fall to 59.6% ; October, both take leave of is 63.5% with 63.3% , be likened to all showed now to slip March. Sales volume is added fast dropping is a cresset of banners and flags that is worth alert, next, need what bureau of statistic of country of the middle ten days of a month released in October to put family dependant estate invested October and start working data. Next, consumption of seamless steel tube faces peak period to off-season switch. Jin Sanyin the busy season after the event of 4, the fall after a rise of demand is appropriate October historical records discipline. After October, district enters plum rains and tall warm season to await south, as seamless steel tube construction of main indecent construction site can be affected, the industry following one by one such as indecent car, home appliance is entered produce off-season. Early days, demand season awaits a gender pick up comprised what seamless steel tube rises to lash force, and the season of demand awaits sexual fall after a rise now, become dozen of force that controls price of seamless steel tube to drop. Finally, the change of market state of mind can affect demand. In commerce of merchandise on hand of seamless steel tube, an appearance that often presents is to buy go up to be not bought drop. Early days, because the abidance of demand end picks up and inventory is in low, terminal user is being purchased normally besides, because price of anxious seamless steel tube rises continuously,happened to fill the increment that the library purchases. Nothing more than, this kind of increment is not absoluteness. Data shows, relatively sensitive to price of seamless steel tube mechanical equipment becomes moral line of business, below the environment that soares in seamless steel tube, purchase enthusia to show now to fall. And turn to fall for dropping setting in seamless steel tube, of the enterprise purchase metre to may put delay a little while, make then die of demand of one branch filling library. According to relevant iron and steel the monitoring data of information orgnaization shows, end started in October, spot market clinchs a deal the quantity shows now to slip. summary, real-estate industry sale is added fast dropping is cresset of a cautionary banners and flags, if cannot of data of estate investment, start working exceeded further not as good as October,anticipate increase, criterion the limit effectiveness that real-estate industry picks up to change rolled steel requirement to pulling is weakened; And the filling library demand that the demand that season awaits a gender picks up to be stimulated with price already die, demand is carried or will turn weak, constitute pressure to price of seamless steel tube. Supply continues to promote to a high office according to produce to 216 company inquiry visits data to look, october, crop of domestic steel products continues to rise, reality is produced can operate lead annulus comparing to rise 4.6% , follow sectional business to continue to have a hand in answer produce cavalcade and company output to be released actively, october, steelworks plans to produce can operate rate general continues to rise 1.3% , plan day all crop adds up to rise 30 thousand tons. In light of the environment that integrated supply carries, the monthly crop March has achieved historical records new tall, the crop October continues to promote to a high office. Calculate according to cost matrix, now, ton embellish of steel gross profit still is in perch, below the stimulation of usury embellish, october, steelworks will continue to continue high yield posture, rolled steel supply promotes to a high office continuously, press to happening of seamless steel tube build with. The place on put together is narrated, from the point of demand end, pick up or last of real-estate industry hard, although add fast concatenate perch, its also will be weakened to the limit effectiveness of demand, and season awaits sexual demand to will present fall after a rise, the drops to cause filling library demand die of price of seamless steel tube; From the point of supply end, march, lunar output achieves historical records new tall, and mixed October the crop October or will continue to promote to a high office, supply deficiency will become historical records, supply pressure will have head flash before one. According to the change of both ends of supply and demand, the author gives out price of seamless steel tube goes to decide infirmly, according to sex of historical records of seamless steel tube fluctuant discipline gives out to be the expectation of area of the coping inside year bit higher October namely, expect the market is checked.

