Weak it is good that quotations of price of seamless steel tube was returned in June go which
Market of seamless steel tube picks up in gain, start working is added, below the prices that overhauls fall after a rise, seamless steel tube continues by October drop power prices till lunar end. 449 months of whole present switchback to go situation. In October Chinese the eve of the lunar New Year ancestor index of commodity supply and demand (BCI) shows for - 0.16, all go up for - 1.78% , report made already aid in October relatively showed in October shorten state, economy moves oothly. This shows, the price of seamless steel tube of later period rose in October many for empty tall hype is pulled go up, market basis face hard the useful seamless steel tube that prop up, just present the eve of the lunar New Year October to drop so far prices. Other, shrink of rate of current steelworks profit is serious, become a seamless tubing mill high to had been in an unfavorable situation at first; Together with is traditional in June off-season prices, be overhaul tide with stop production or will appear again, so seamless steel tube stops drop prices also can come slowly. Library prices impact fills before sufferring dragon boat festival nothing more than, after market of seamless steel tube rose first in June, so estimation drops. Upper reaches: Supply and demand is comfortable whole of market of domestic entrance iron ore presented of of be issued to lower levels of be a burden on of seamless steel tube of indelicacy of price of benefit empty mine to glide point-blank in October posture. Monitor according to data show, up to on October 31, port of Australia 62%PB pink all valence is in 372.78 yuan / ton, relatively drop at the beginning of October 24.39% , most amplitude of the eve of the lunar New Year 25.77% . Drop this situation head if because mine city supply and demand is comfortable, support high price hard; And be a burden on of mean seamless steel tube drops be caused by. Look from inventory, basis of inventory of countrywide principal port is concatenate in October in 101 million tons of degree, and one hundred and one million eight hundred and sixty thousand tons inventory level was achieved on October 27 since 2025 new tall; Other deliver goods look on the quantity from mine, zhou Ping all connected in October in 21.5 million tons deliver goods; All declare ore supply pressure rises suddenly. And look from steelworks inventory, up to average stocks was in mine of entrance of the last ten-day of a month in October two hundred and eighty-four thousand one hundred tons, inventory day counts 23 days, all be in normal inventory level, showed steelworks to demoting valence ore is followed with along with collected strategy, purchase demand not lukewarm not fire. Offer the eve of the lunar New Year so at seeking market pattern relatively move aggravate, price be put into trouble drops. The sheds seamless steel tube the eve of the lunar New Year below together with drops prices, bring about entrance ore market to drop situation aggravate. On the other hand, general points to had dropped to 50 dollars / ton, outside dish imprint powdery price falls to 49 dollars / ton, the month tumbles all exceed 20% ; So the abidance of international ore price drops, also bring to market of domestic entrance mine relatively benefit of the eve of the lunar New Year is empty. It is with mine trade business can be forced to reduce quoted price only, low clinchs a deal, alleviate inventory. Finally, according to comprehending, came on October 27 on June 2 times, bay benefit of the eve of the lunar New Year inferior cut down 1.5 million tons to harbor add up to with Brazilian iron ore, and port stock falls came 100 million tons of degree, reckon pressure of supply of market of the ore before dragon boat festival is cut down so, or price of the meeting mine that prop up stops drop. Be based on even department business company iron ore of a hunderd schools again much emptier in June survey (13% bullish, 28% look ooth, 59% see empty) , anticipate mine price fell in June situation continuance, but drop situation shorten, maximum price 380 yuan / ton, minimum price 330 yuan / ton. Seamless steel tube: Supply pressure highlights prices to perform profit of steelworks of of empty Pu Yue to jump, answer produce add; Social inventory picks up, supply of merchandise on hand is added; Form basis face to offer the eve of the lunar New Year at seeking pattern. Hype of together with market drops in temperature enthusiasticly, futures price Qian Lianfan drops stop; Bring about price of seamless steel tube to drop again, steely industry performs cold wave of empty cattail month. Supply side: Show according to data, up to by October, rate of start working of blast furnace of 163 steelworks of countrywide is 81.22% , zhou Huan rises than all 0.14% , lunar annulus goes up than the eve of the lunar New Year 2.35% , and pick up continuously 8 weeks; But steelworks gain has 65.03% only merely, zhou Huan drops than the eve of the lunar New Year 17.79% , drop continuously 5 weeks; The steel in be being occupied additionally assist data, in October the crude steel day of the middle ten days of a month all crop is in one million seven hundred and forty-five thousand eight hundred tons, annulus of a period of ten days is compared go up again 3.43% , since achieving 12 months new tall. After declaring the eve of the lunar New Year of seamless steel tube goes up, steelworks answer is produced add nimble, pressure of supply of market merchandise on hand rises suddenly; And bring about seamless steel tube presented the eve of the lunar New Year to drop in October. The sequela that this also brought about steelworks answer to produce slowly flash, whole is immersed in again be in an unfavorable situation to produce to be encircled quite more more. It is with estimation the off-season prices in June falls, steelworks or add overhaul measure at first, change the line of production export order, alleviate slowly then inventory of merchandise on hand, seamless steel tube drops situation also can shorten. Overhaul respect: According to business company not complete count, up to by October, crop of molten iron of impact of overhaul of overall height furnace is in two hundred and sixty-eight thousand one hundred tons / day, lunar annulus is compared fall again sixty-three thousand seven hundred tons / day. This shows, market merchandise on hand furnished in June pressure as before relatively the eve of the lunar New Year, whole drops situation is bad change. Inventory respect: Up to by October, society stocks of rolled steel of 5 the eve of the lunar New Year picks up reach nine million four hundred and eighty-two thousand four hundred tons, lunar annulus is compared rise 4.35% ; The steel in be being occupied additionally assist data shows, inventory of steelworks of the middle ten days of a month also picked up in October reach thirteen million nine hundred and eighty-one thousand five hundred tons, lunar annulus is compared rise 7.53% . Below the prices of be issued to lower levels of indication seamless steel tube, mean terminal market is bought go up not to buy dropping state of mind again flash. Of inventory pick up to also be met aggravate of seamless steel tube drop. Mean respect: According to statistical bureau data, 2025 1-10 month, countrywide estate open up invests month of increasing ratio 1-3 to increase a percent; Area of Heng Yu construction adds company of estate open up fast keep balance with 1-3 month. And according to business company data, metalloid in October kind of building materials (glass, cement) all go up drop 0.19% , whole is built relatively firmly; And whorl however the eve of the lunar New Year drops 23.58% ; Declare estate market connects as before dovish move, but its are cut down slowly to the steely child influence such as whorl, the prices after hype of capital of backside of seamless steel tube drops in temperature is brought to steely market drop newly situation be a burden on. Grand indelicate respect: PMI of steely in October 2025 industry is 50.90% , relatively in October fall after a rise 6.4 percent, in fall after a rise appears again after 5 months pick up continuously, but already lasted two months lie the vicissitude line upper part of 50% . Index of other new in October order relatively in October the eve of the lunar New Year drop 12.9 percent; Produced in October the index is 53.7% , although relatively October fall after a rise 6.7 percent, but still be in outspread interval. This shows, in October PMI the eve of the lunar New Year of each index fall after a rise, show the eve of the lunar New Year that follows seamless steel tube drop, do sth for arrange grain merchant and terminal user order goods to steelworks double and careful and precise, steelworks sells pressure to add the eve of the lunar New Year somewhat. And extent of fall after a rise of new order index relatively move the eve of the lunar New Year at producing extent of exponential fall after a rise, show market demand fall after a rise is double again relatively move, offer the eve of the lunar New Year at seeking pressure flash before one. The place on put together is narrated, the eve of the lunar New Year of price of seamless steel tube dropped in October prices is the prices of normal fall after a rise after empty went up in October. And basis face is highlighted at the pattern that seek for the eve of the lunar New Year is its demote the reason of a copy kept as a record of valence. Other, the start working of now steelworks and inventory as before exalted, so it is good that quotations of price of seamless steel tube was returned in June go which, supply pressure as before, its drop situation also be abundantly clear.
