Weekday is less last week, add an end midday again all long holiday, comprised the foundation frame that price of seamless steel tube rebounds. Supporting a side, because of arm of rub one's palm along ooth out with the fingers of the billet at the beginning of June piece fist, add period steel rebound, lashed the course that price of seamless steel tube rebounds. Requirement of field of retail sales of all forehead length a holiday is released somewhat, scrape up the kinetic energy that price rebounds. This week billet reachs period steel to shake rebound, put in the blemish with insufficient aftereffect admittedly, but still facilitated this brief get warm again after a cold spell that Zhou Mo seams steel tube price. Industrial product factory price cash is swelled super- anticipate, PPI index lasts 3 months annulus is compared increase, last compared to the same period 5 months shrink continuously narrow, declare current economy is short-term get warm again after a cold spell. The policy of near future of this principal profit from stimulates be caused by, peep of new result of supply side vessel. But total demand expresses and did not anticipate driving, go producing at the same time can not gain ecru sex headway, economy is so overall the state that continues to present supply exceeds demand. Other, this data and high frequency data go situation deviate from, the price of billet and iron ore already all showed now to drop, annulus comparing went up in June or can continue to close narrow. Goods spring supply is added fast suffer be restricted, the Central Bank only thing of spring of of all kinds goods maintains by course relatively changeless liquidity situation, considering increase look forward to firm, comfortable simply increment is insufficient, with be being given priority to to rushing. The later period in 3 quarters, comfortable space may open goods spring from the beginning. Because Tang Shan still is in next week,be restricted to produce period, continue to carry on affection brace up market of seamless steel tube decides belief, but the market can be denied connect go up situation, still need to see demand collective. Because cash flows profit to still have inevitable space, desire of automatic reduction of output is not strong. Inventory pressure not the eve of the lunar New Year, but follow season to await sexual demand to weaken, demand anticipates continue to lose, contradiction of supply and demand will put the eve of the lunar New Year further. Crop respect, newest data shows, member of the last ten-day of a month is steely in October 2025 day of business crude steel all crop one million seven hundred and seventy-seven thousand seven hundred tons, annulus of a period of ten days is compared increase 1.83% . In steel assist beforehand appraise in October day of countrywide crude steel all crop 2.333 million tons, relatively on the month increases 0.82% . Other up to October end of the last ten-day of a month, stocks of steel products of company of member iron and steel thirteen million nine hundred and sixty-three thousand four hundred tons, relatively end of on one a period of ten days drops 0.6% , relatively on lunar the corresponding period increases 13.1% . Month of output of steel of the last ten-day of a month reached stock month to compare increment than increasing in October relatively move, map steelworks is produced can release rate faster. But inventory increment annulus declares than dropping shipment environment expresses crackajack. Now is entered after June, steelworks falls in gain can care and traditional and off-season influence, stop production is overhauled slowly grow in quantity, be helpful for what crop reachs inventory releasing. Nothing more than because sex of this data effectiveness for a given period of time is poorer, estimation June data of the first ten days of a month or continue tall. Grand indelicate respect, country statistic bureau is released in October economic norms. Data shows, october, CPI rises compared to the same period 2.0% , annulus comparing drops 0.5%;PPI drops compared to the same period 2.8% , annulus comparing rises 0.5% . PPI divides a data to show, the person that industry produces purchases price in, fuel power kind price falls compared to the same period 8.3% , nonferrous metal material and electrical wiring kind price falls 7.0% , black metal stuff kind with industrial chemicals kind price all falls 4.1% , housing materials and metalloid kind price falls 3.9% . Factory price of the person that industry produces in money, produce data price falls compared to the same period 3.7% , factory price of the person that industry of influence whole nation produces money total rate falls about 2.7 percent. In this, excavate industry price falls 9.6% , price of raw material industry falls 7.2% , treatment industry price falls 1.8% . Futures respect, this Zhou Shoumei country the eve of the lunar New Year of data of blame farming obtain employment anticipate not as good as, beautiful couplet store add breath probability to reduce an effect, index of international market dollar goes low, this is carried brace up price of commodity of an administrative unit in Xizang of the eve of the lunar New Year, black futures the eve of the lunar New Year rebound. Go because of the dollar nothing more than situation uncertainty relatively the eve of the lunar New Year, period steel is strong position hard abiding, later period existence shakes the likelihood that be down. Because Tang Shan still is in next week,be restricted to produce period (on June 8, 2025 0 when to on June 19 24 when, tang Shan city is plump and ooth-skinned the steel rolling that lights furnace of kiln of alloy steel tube, casting is used inside the area (forge) build; of stop production of company total number to be below the premise that ensures blast furnace produces in safety, whole area is all and steely keep within limits of enterprise agglomeration machine produces, keep within limits of mine of open air of whole area of; of furnace of blast furnace stew everything produces homework) , continue to carry on affection brace up the market decides belief, but the market can be denied connect go up situation, still need to see demand collective. Will integratedly look, supply of market of now seamless steel tube carries pressure to still have pressurization, price drops continuously the eve of the lunar New Year of your profit range contractible, sectional steelworks appears be in an unfavorable situation, present reduction in production at first. Still have inevitable space because of shedding gain for cash nothing more than, desire of automatic reduction of output is not strong. Inventory pressure not the eve of the lunar New Year, but follow season to await sexual demand to weaken, demand anticipates continue to lose, contradiction of supply and demand will put the eve of the lunar New Year further. Nothing more than short-term price already achieved profit and loss even wire all around, have to seamless steel tube prop up necessarily, continue the eve of the lunar New Year drop the space is limited. Estimation is in first next week profit is good prop up below, the market or have disagreement, go up drop each other shows. But in price of later period seamless steel tube or shake low.
