Short-term look into: Be issued to lower levels of weak potential of price of seamless steel tube of the last ten-day of a month in November

Year of introduction the current year up to now, price of domestic seamless steel tube besides October, there is one August wave is all outside rebounding, it is to drop all the way on basis. Other, price of near future billet, iron ore also goes low continuously, cost of seamless steel tube props up strength not exhaust is weakened, the expression of suppress price. Be aimed at current market environment, the author thinks simple commensurate division compare notes issues the logic of backside of be issued to lower levels of price of seamless steel tube. One, in the course that crop house does not leave be issued to lower levels of weak potential of price of seamless steel tube high to drop all the way in price of seamless steel tube, steelworks has no environment of durative reduction of output, stop production, the start working rate of blast furnace is maintained from beginning to end in 80% order about, amount to yield to also be in 70% all around linger, mean steelworks crop house not to fall high, supply pressure relatively the eve of the lunar New Year. Investigate its are principal reason, the author is consulting after the data is liquidated related quantity of the eve of the lunar New Year, discover the reason has at 2 o'clock 1, steelworks capital is serious, the surplus property such as now iron and steel all cannot get bank financing prop up, be in Qianhuang in. Steely industry expresses particularly relatively move, steelworks once stop production, the bank is about to close borrow. Compel steelworks not dare stop production, be immersed in produce more deficient more, in the evil metempsychosis that produces more fortunately more. 2, steely course of study is labor concentrated model enterprise. It is the able-bodied person that contains amount of the eve of the lunar New Year not just, still receive the eve of the lunar New Year to measure social capital at the same time, enter mediumly in GDP display occupy the eve of the lunar New Year that compare force. If steelworks is astringent,move according to market discipline, especially company of iron of profiled bar of the eve of the lunar New Year, person of branch of not only the eve of the lunar New Year should face the risk of course of study, at the same time location taxation also will present a problem, invoke social question likely at the appointed time. For example a 10 million tons steelworks, drive the obtain employment of 100 thousand person. If produce can atrophic, person of ironwork of this 100 thousand steel can be engaged in why be being planted again the job, this also can create more family and social problem. To steely enterprise character gain is a target, keep a society changeless it is responsibility. 2, each link all shows belongings cable length owe install seamless steel tube to continue bear pressure very apparent, price of today home seamless steel tube drops chief reason is to produce can serious superfluous, offer Yuan Hongyuan at begging, meanwhile, during current China economy is in tone layout, pressure of economic be issued to lower levels is enormous, each link all shows steely belongings cable length owe how, specific as follows: 1, the expression of iron ore supply exceeds demand more relatively move, price lasts fall after a rise, reckon price of iron ore of the last ten-day of a month in November will be in 45 dollars all around linger, the products lumber respect of seamless steel tube lacks strong cost to prop up. 2, expedite link capital pours out of commerce continuously, market vivid jerk is reduced gradually, of steel trade business expedite and penitentiary wear off, steelworks also is in for the scale of terminal continuously not exhaust adds the eve of the lunar New Year. Be worth what carry is project of building site of and other places of look forward to of ferry of Shenyang, Changchun, Beijing gradually shutdown, steel trade business has a holiday, be without a winter store intent. 3, hair change appoint the eve of the lunar New Year of give an official measured the investment project such as railroad, highway September, but do not reach the designated position because of mean project financing, periodic long, metempsychosis of capital of the indecent on catenary of block up belongings. 4, northward climate becomes cold, next supply pressure austral boreal material add the eve of the lunar New Year, your south price not exhaust bear pressure. The group of harbor of newest Huang Bu that dogs according to this net shows to harbor data, harbor of yellow Bu of the middle ten days of a month planned to be 230 thousand tons to harbor in October, be likened to with the first ten days of a month add 96 thousand tons, amplitude relatively move. Follow difference of price of north and south to be being formed gradually, fall south material of later period north will somewhat increment. The author on put together thinks demand of near future north drops quickly, estimation of seamless steel tube continues to lose force be issued to lower levels. Those who follow climate become cold gradually, the market enters consumption gradually off-season, situation of demand of later period market has hard relatively move improvement. In the meantime, next pressure austral boreal material are added continuously, and steelworks crop still is in perch, contradiction of supply and demand is increasingly raised, weak potential of price of together with raw material, billet moves, the cost strength that prop up is weaker, mostly the businesan holds brokenhearted position. But consider inventory of near future society and steelworks stock fall continuously, have to spot market price prop up necessarily, reckon price of seamless steel tube of the last ten-day of a month in November will continue to lose force be issued to lower levels.