Price of later period seamless steel tube takes situation elucidate and the side that need to put family dependant
Follow market of seamless steel tube to enter consumption off-season, seamless steel tube produces and demand all can drop somewhat, the market contradicts at begging for the eve of the lunar New Year still raisedder. Price of seamless steel tube of estimation later period still hard the eve of the lunar New Year pick up, will show low wave motion goes situation. 1, country grand result of indelicate adjusting control will slowly flash, situation of demand of seamless steel tube can take a favourable turn somewhat since the current year, get world economy come round the layout sex contradiction of collect of logy, abiding caboodle is raised with each passing day wait for multiple identity influence, domestic demand is exhausted weak, produce can superfluous contradiction raised, grand pressure of indelicate economy moving be issued to lower levels adds the eve of the lunar New Year somewhat. Li Kejiang of premier of the State Council will be listened to on November 9 point out on expert and company controller informal discussion, those who want the policy such as spring of finance affairs of expound and propagate, goods, belongings, price is penitentiary, had used space of active and financial policy, reasonable add the eve of the lunar New Year to reduce duty strength, enlarge the eve of the lunar New Year is useful investment; Establish thing of policy of different goods spring, reduce industry financing cost; Superintend stimulative belongings in order to direct raisedder belongings policy, harsher measure is mixed to take step; The decoration promotes belongings to take step into class with consumption, breed form new supply need inside the eve of the lunar New Year of new power enlarge. Accordingly firm increase policy method result slowly flash, situation of demand of later period seamless steel tube can take a favourable turn somewhat. 2, supply and demand is contradictory and short-term inside turn round hard, price of seamless steel tube shows narrow cut to fluctuate situation according to data of country statistic bureau, 1-10 month, countrywide cast iron, crude steel and rolled steel (contain repeatedly material) take leave of of accumulative total crop is five hundred and eighty-four million seven hundred and twenty thousand tons, mix 934.3 million tons 675.1 million tons, take leave of increases compared to the same period - 3.3% , - 2.2% with 1.0% ; Rolled steel exports amount to crude steel completely 84.53 million tons, increase compared to the same period 31.8% ; Domestic crude steel expresses indelicate consumption to be 591 million tons, drop compared to the same period 5.7% , fall than crude steel crop panel height 3.5 percent, home market contradicts at begging for the eve of the lunar New Year more raised. Demand of international market iron and steel increases logier also, index of price of CRU international rolled steel lasts the 14th month drops. Changing indelicate environment to fall at begging a state to have no for the eve of the lunar New Year, price of later period seamless steel tube picks up hard, will show low wave motion goes situation. 3, inventory continues to drop, the city after market of seamless steel tube is right anticipates inferior still at the beginning of November, stocks of society of steel products of countrywide first market falls reach 9.63 million tons, continuously the 7th month drops, annulus comparing cuts down 630 thousand tons, fall for 6.11% ; With on year the corresponding period is likened to drop 800 thousand tons, fall for 7.67% ; Enter November since the middle ten days of a month, social stock is all pick up, end to will fall on November 25 reach 9.3 million tons, than going up lunar end rises 3.49% ; The peak value inside of the same age is likened to drop 5.92 million tons, fall for 38.90% . Although social inventory is all pick up, but the market anticipates inferior still. Market of later period seamless steel tube needs to put the first issue of family dependant: It is crude steel output falls under consumption, change at begging circumstance ostentation and extravagance to have no for the eve of the lunar New Year indelicate. October day of countrywide crude steel all crop is two million one hundred and thirty-two thousand nine hundred tons, although drop compared to the same period 3.1% , but under watch of crude steel of whole nation of the corresponding period indelicate consumption falls. Contradiction of supply and demand of home market seamless steel tube is more raised, steely enterprise is useful the abstemious, main premise that be restricted to produce is changeless market. 2 it is seamless steel tube drops 60 bits brokener, enterprise benefit is squashed further. According to monitoring, from November a week, aggregate index of price of CSPI rolled steel drops since defeating 60 a little bit, to the middle ten days of a month will drop 4 weeks continuously again in November. Seamless steel tube not the explore below exhaust, steely enterprise benefit is squashed further. 3 it is to export a quantity to add valence to drop, with the entrance difference of rolled steel price pulls the eve of the lunar New Year further. 1-10 month, countrywide rolled steel imports rolled steel all valence is 1135.6 dollars / ton, drop compared to the same period 110.2 dollars / ton, fall for 8.85% . And average price is export steel products 578.8 dollars / ton, drop compared to the same period 196.3 dollars / ton, fall for 25.33% , than the entrance all price falls panel height 16.48 percent. The enterprise should put family dependant to export price too low the influence to the international market.
